Value picks for daily fantasy, week 3

BeerDMan Fantasy Football, Sports Leave a Comment

We all know the players that will put up numbers week in and week out, but the trick to winning your daily fantasy league is finding the value picks. The players that will give you the same production as the big guys for a much lower price.


Joe Flacco @ Jax (6100)


So far Flacco has put up mediocre fantasy numbers in the first two weeks at first glance. He did show a lot of improvement in the second half of his game against the Browns.  This week he has an even better matchup. The Jaguars let Rivers throw to Benjamin all day and they have the 27th ranked defense against opposing quarterbacks. Flacco should easily be able to put up top tier fantasy numbers in week 3.


Marcus Mariota vs Oak (5900)


Mariota makes a return appearance on this list, last week he faced a subpar Lions defense and was able to throw for over 200 with 2 touchdowns. This week he has an even better matchup in the Raiders secondary who have been allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. They have been shredded in the first two games allowing 819 yards and 7 touchdowns to 1 interception. Mariota will bring the added threat of his legs and is sure to put up a massive day fantasy wise.


Alex Smith vs NYJ (5800)


Alex Smith has been up and down so far this year, scoring 32 in week 1 and only 5.6 in his second week. Now with another favorable matchup staring him in the face, look for Smith to score much closer to his week 1 totals. The Jets have been struggling to stop anyone through the air and Revis Island is inviting everyone to the party nowadays. This is a steal at only 5800 which is 2000 less than the top option.


Melvin Gordon @ Ind (5800)


Gordon has been a pleasant surprise through the first two weeks of the 2016 season, averaging just under 21 points per game. He has been able to carry the ball effectively, averaging just under 4.2 yards per carry and reaching paydirt 3 times. Now with the Woodhead injury, look for Gordon to be on the field for even more snaps. To add to this, he has a great matchup this week. The Colts rank last against the run in fantasy this year.


Jerick McKinnon @ Car (3800)


With Adrian Peterson out, look for McKinnon to get a majority of the snaps. He will be splitting time with Asiata, but McKinnon holds the most value in daily fantasy. He will be the receiving back and is a big play guy with top notch speed. He is going against the Panthers this week who let Anderson run all over them in week one. While he may not do quite as well as CJ from week one, he should easily produce more than his price suggests.


Frank Gore vs SD (5000)


This old guy? Yes, Gore is still relevant and will show up big this week. He is only averaging around 13.5 carries per game but is also getting targeted out of the backfield. This week he has a favorable matchup going against the Chargers who are ranked 30th against the run so far this year. Gore is putting up 13.6 fantasy points on average and he could easily double that number this week.


Jeremy Maclin vs NYJ (6000)


Maclin has been targeted 22 times through the first two games. This is the most important statistic when it comes to wide receivers. Maclin will get plenty of chances to catch the ball this week against Revis who has been letting receivers catch everything on him. Look for Maclin to go for over 100 for the first time this year and add at least one touchy to that.


Mike Wallace @ Jax (5000)


Wallace has not been the most targeted player through the first two weeks by any means, but that is about to change. He has made the most of his 12 targets, catching 7 of them for 132 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has averaged just under 20 points a game in daily fantasy and his matchups are just getting better. This week he is facing a Jacksonville defense that just let speedster Benjamin poop all over them to the tune of 115 yards and 2 touchdowns.


Tajae Sharpe vs Oak(4700)


This is another case of volume as Sharpe has averaged 9 targets a game over the first two weeks. While he had a lackluster performance in week 2, he was able to put up solid numbers against a great Minnesota defense in his first week. I expect Sharpe to see plenty of action against the 32nd ranked pass defense.


Jason Witten vs Chi (4300)


Witten has looked like he found the fountain of youth this year. He has caught 12 balls for 117 yards. So far Witten has failed to reach the end zone, but that could be partially due to the fact that he has a rookie quarterback who has not thrown a touchdown in the first two games. In his third week of regular season play I expect Prescott to look much more comfortable throwing the ball and get it to Witten several times for a big game.

Dwayne Allen vs SD (3800)


Last week Allen had a down week, but that was against what many consider to be the best defense in football. This week he has a favorable matchup against the Chargers who rank 29th against TEs. Allen is the main guy and with little consistency on the Colts receiving corps he is poised for a huge game.


Miami Dolphins defense vs Cle (3000)


The Miami defense looked absolutely atrocious last week against the Patriots, but who looks good against a Belichick run team? In their first week they had a solid performance against the Seahawks with 2 turnovers and 3 sacks. This week they have to be chomping at the bit to play a Browns offense that is down to their third string quarterback who, by the way, is a rookie. There are going to be mistakes a plenty in this game and the Dolphins defensive squad will surely benefit.


Dallas Cowboys defense vs Chi  (2500)


This is more of a matchup play than anything, the Bears have allowed 8 sacks and 4 turnovers through the first 2 weeks. The Cowboys have not been spectacular but have not allowed the big plays kill them. The Cowboys have also created 2 turnovers (one in each game) which was a big problem for them in 2015. The only downside is that Cutler is going to miss 2-3 weeks so he won’t be able to turn the ball over as much, it should still be a great value play for people who do not like to spend a lot of money on their defense.


  • BeerDman

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